Vlad Kunko

When I first saw this name - Volodymyr Vlad Kunko - I was suspicious. I am suspicious about anyone with a Russian name, but after digging around for a bit, I think the guy is legit. Turns out he is Ukrainian and not Russian. You can find him on Facebook.

The worst thing that could happen to Putin.

The endless, slow, Russian grind forward has been turned or halted. In Pokrovsk and Kupiansk the Russian army is in retreat. Ground formerly gained at great cost is being reclaimed as Russia’s ability to maintain war is depleted.

Nineteen months of effort and still, after taking more than 60,000 casualties Russia has failed to take Pokrovsk. After nearly four years and 1.2 million casualties, Putin’s three-day military operation has nothing to show for the money and manpower spent.

Russian aircraft are falling out of the sky from lack of maintenance (Design Bureau parts only available from Ukraine). This week an Antonov-52, among the world’s largest transport aircraft, was filmed snapping in two and crashing to the ground. The fifty-year-old, six engine jet was a long way past it’s acceptable service date. Two fighter pilots of a Sukhoi SU 34 were killed when their ejection seats misfired in a hangar, and they were propelled into the concrete ceiling of the hangar. Poor servicing, tired maintenance staff or sabotage, the loss adds to the increasing failures of the Russian military machine.

The Russian Ruble is worthless on the international markets. One Ruble is worth about 0.01 US Dollars or one cent. In Russia, war economy companies are unable to pay staff. Some are two months behind in wages.

The Russian ‘Shadow fleet’ that is illegally transporting Russian oil is getting sunk in the Black Sea. Ukraine has been careful to strike empty tankers to avoid environmental catastrophes. Under this threat the ships cannot travel to Russian Black Sea ports to load up. Several ships left port only to suffer damage to crucial machinery while at sea. Russia depends on oil sales to maintain its economy. At heavily discounted rates these sales still provide just enough to keep the Russian economy afloat.

Desperate for hard cash Russia is trading gold reserves. As it’s air defences crumble in the west Russia is selling S300 air defence systems to Iran and there are reports of them trading an old Nuclear-powered Submarine to India. It’s car-boot sales at an international level.

Most Russian professional soldiers have died in the past four years. New replacements are pushed into formerly elite units and sent to the front lines to die quickly.

All the Fetal Alcohol Syndrom riff-raff and criminals taken from prisons and promised freedom after six months of service are dead.

The Koreans cheerfully supplied by Kim Jong Un are also dead.

The oil industry is dying. Refineries, storage depots, and pipelines have all been damaged. Russia’s refining capacity has been reduced by 17%. Gasolene and Diesel is in very short supply. Trucks cannot transport food to the cities; people cannot get to work. Trains cannot move towards the front lines as they are constantly derailed. The lights are going out in Moscow as electricity sub-stations and transformers are hit by drones.

Putin’s attempts to test his new Satan 2 nuclear delivery systems failed abysmally as the rockets crashed immediately after launch.

The Baltic became a NATO sea once Finland and Sweden became full members. St. Petersburg can be sealed off at a moment’s notice and little Kaliningrad sits lost and isolated with their supply lines cut from Belarus hoping for relief from god knows where.

$300 Billion in frozen Russian assets are being held in European Banks and the Europeans are figuring out how to manipulate that money to pay for future and present war reparations. That has legal issues, but we can be sure Putin will not get his hands on that money until he withdraws from Ukraine.

So how could it get much worse for Putin?

Trump could die.

Trump is Putin’s only remaining hope to drag some political recovery from this disaster. Even a blind man would see Trump is allied to Putin on the question of Ukraine.

Trump could die. He is obviously in a terrible sate of health. He shows clear signs of dementia and exhaustion. There are marks of intravenous infusion bruises on his hands, not the first place of choice for an IV. It must be hard t0 locate a vein elsewhere, indicating he has serious circulation problems. His grossly swollen ankles are another mark of a failing heart. Rumo
urs of a recent mini-stroke with brain bleeding risk amyloidosis medication are probably true considering his age and the pressure he is under every day. Hence MRI monitoring.

Trump’s FOX approved cabinet survives on fear. The minute he dies, surviving members will either run for the doors or aggressively compete to replace him. Whistleblowers will have a party day; hatreds and recriminations will explode. The MAGA walls will come tumbling down and Putin will have no cards left. Trump’s death would be the final nail in Putin’s coffin.

If Trump were to die, most of the world would take a sigh of relief and hope to start again but Bannon, Stone, Vance, Bondi. Hegseth, Patel, and Flynn (amongst others) only remain free while Trump breaths. Vance would maintain his living shell and present a virtual Trump to the world if it could keep them out of prison and in power.

With the GOP’s fear of Trump removed perhaps the Democrats could find a way to restore political stability but the damage the USA is comparable to the damage to Russia. Their leaders, economies and empires are failing. There is no going back.

If Trump dies Putin will be finished. Finished at home, and finished in Ukraine.